{"id":3402,"date":"2025-03-05T12:01:30","date_gmt":"2025-03-05T12:01:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/trumps-staggering-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says\/"},"modified":"2025-03-05T12:01:30","modified_gmt":"2025-03-05T12:01:30","slug":"trumps-staggering-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/trumps-staggering-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/GettyImages-2198948272.jpg\" alt=\"Trump's \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says\"><\/p>\n<p>A decision by the White House to suspend all military aid to Ukraine has stunned Kyiv and its European allies, throwing the very future of the established world order into doubt.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I&#8217;m utterly staggered. It&#8217;s just extraordinary,&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/tashecon?lang=en\">Timothy Ash<\/a>, associate fellow at the Chatham House\u2019s Russia and Eurasia Programme, told the Kyiv Independent on March 4.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s almost like the collapse of the Soviet Union if you think of the scale of what we&#8217;re seeing now, it&#8217;s utterly remarkable.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Ash said the implications of the <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/im-full-of-anger-ukraine-awakes-to-a-nightmare-as-us-freezes-military-aid\/\">military aid freeze<\/a>, as well as U.S. President <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump&#8217;s<\/a> hostile rhetoric towards President <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/volodymyr-zelensky\/\">Volodymyr Zelensky<\/a> in recent weeks, will have profound implications not only for Ukraine, but the entire world.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Kyiv Independent: What&#8217;s your initial reaction to the U.S. freezing military aid to <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/ukraine\/\"><strong>Ukraine<\/strong><\/a><strong>?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Timothy Ash:<\/strong> Well, it&#8217;s very disappointing and sad. I guess one conclusion from the White House meeting on Friday was that clearly the Trump administration is in the (Russian President Vladimir) <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/vladimir-putin\/\">Putin<\/a> camp. I mean, <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/nato\/\">NATO<\/a> is kind of dead.<\/p>\n<p>Any idea that the U.S. will provide some kind of security guarantee to NATO and any peacekeeping operation in Ukraine is\u2026 it&#8217;s pretty clear that&#8217;s not going to happen. <\/p>\n<p>The only positive for Ukraine, I guess, is that it&#8217;s clear now where it stands. It&#8217;s clear where it stands in respect to the U.S. and it has to make its decisions accordingly.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Kyiv Independent: Can you place all of this historically in terms of how significant these events are that we&#8217;re seeing?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Timothy Ash: <\/strong>Well, to be honest, it&#8217;s utterly shocking. The mainstay of <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/europe\/\">European<\/a> security since World War II has been NATO. And I think people like (U.S. Vice President) JD Vance forget that the U.S. triggered Article 5 after the 9\/11 terror attack \u2014 NATO allies rallied around the U.S. <\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s also interesting that over the last few hours or 24 hours at least, Vance has been criticising some European countries in terms of their military capability. That&#8217;s not gone down very well in the <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/united-kingdom\/\">U.K<\/a>. in particular, given that the U.K. and European countries also stood behind the U.S. in Afghanistan and Iraq.<\/p>\n<p>I mean, we lost (<a href=\"https:\/\/assets.publishing.service.gov.uk\/media\/624198fce90e075f13a3a5a8\/UK_armed_forces_Operational_deaths_post_World_War_II.pdf\">635<\/a>) soldiers in both conflicts. So it is simply extraordinary\u2026 that we need to think of a new security architecture in Europe.<\/p>\n<p><!--kg-card-begin: html--><\/p>\n<div class=\"citation-snippet\">\n<p class=\"citation-snippet__text\">\n&#8220;The penny seems to have dropped in Europe, finally.&#8221;\n    <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><!--kg-card-end: html--><\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;re seeing huge shifts, tectonic shifts in alliances that I don&#8217;t think anyone could quite have imagined. <\/p>\n<p>This idea that the Americans and the Russians are going to ally up against the <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/china\">Chinese<\/a>, Europe left stranded \u2014 what&#8217;s Europe going to do? I mean it&#8217;s just utterly extraordinary.<\/p>\n<p>The penny seems to have dropped in Europe, finally. They realize that they need to increase their own defense spending and ramp up military production. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"kg-card kg-bookmark-card\"><a class=\"kg-bookmark-container\" href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/trumps-pivot-toward-moscow-met-with-joy-in-russia\/\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-content\">\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-title\">Trump\u2019s pivot toward Moscow met with joy in Russia<\/div>\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-description\">It\u2019s a good decision, says Kremlin\u2019s spokesman, following the U.S. pausing of all aid to Ukraine. \u201cThe details remain to be seen, but if this is true, it is a decision that could indeed push the \u2018Kyiv regime\u2019 towards a peace process,\u201d said Dmitry Peskov. Russia has been open<\/div>\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-metadata\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"kg-bookmark-icon\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.kyivindependent.com\/content\/images\/size\/w256h256\/format\/png\/2023\/03\/K-new.svg\" alt=\"Trump's \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says\"><span class=\"kg-bookmark-author\">The Kyiv Independent<\/span><span class=\"kg-bookmark-publisher\">Kateryna Denisova<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-thumbnail\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/GettyImages-2202705400-1.jpg\" alt=\"Trump's \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says\"><\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/figure>\n<p>Obviously, we&#8217;ve had <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/eu-introduces-rearm-europe-plan-to-boost-european-defense-capabilities\/\">announcements<\/a> this morning from (European Commission President Ursula) Von der Leyen and various European politicians in that regard.<\/p>\n<p>But in the end, there is a short-term gap. Years of underinvestment, years of neglect in terms of defense spending have left us dependent on the Americans.<\/p>\n<p>Going forward, that can&#8217;t endure. We have to change. How we get through the transition period is kind of difficult.<\/p>\n<p>The immediate problem is obviously Ukraine \u2014 how we help Ukraine get through this existential threat to its survival. And longer term, Europe has to see Ukraine as being pretty central to its own defense with the Americans gone.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine is a very capable military force. Almost the only thing standing behind Europe and Russia at the moment is Ukraine. So how do we work better with the Ukrainians to help build our own defense? That&#8217;s a huge question mark. <\/p>\n<p>How do I put it into perspective? I&#8217;m utterly staggered. It&#8217;s just extraordinary. It&#8217;s almost like the collapse of the Soviet Union if you think of the scale of what we&#8217;re seeing now, it&#8217;s utterly remarkable.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"kg-card kg-embed-card\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"200\" height=\"113\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/oCp0ib8GsBs?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen title=\"World order upended by Trump\u2019s Ukraine military aid freeze, expert says\"><\/iframe><\/figure>\n<p><strong>The Kyiv Independent: The collapse of the Soviet Union was a generally positive event for the West \u2013 is it fair to say that the ramifications of this change are going to be largely negative?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Timothy Ash: <\/strong>The collapse of the Soviet Union set in motion many of the problems that we&#8217;re dealing with today. Essentially, we spent the peace dividend. We assumed we&#8217;d won the Cold War. And now, those chickens are coming home to roost. But we need to move on.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s the reality. We are where we are. And it&#8217;s crystal clear now that the U.S. is not a reliable partner.<\/p>\n<p>Europe has some leverage \u2014 it&#8217;s a big economy, $27 trillion. It has buying power. I&#8217;m not worried about the finances of stepping up defense production. I&#8217;m just worried about the physical challenge of actually producing and buying weapons. <\/p>\n<p>In the short term, you&#8217;d imagine the Americans would still be willing to sell them to Europe. It would be a huge market.<\/p>\n<p>And then eventually, Europe will step up and will be a significant arms producer. And again, I would imagine that would give it leverage also with the Americans. <\/p>\n<p>If in the end, this is a hegemonic battle for supremacy between the U.S. and China, I do find it a bit ironic, or a bit strange that the Americans have decided to tag along to the Russian economy, which is a $2 trillion economy. <\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, I don&#8217;t see Russia giving the U.S. the scale in terms of that hegemonic battle with China. Europe is the economy that can give the Americans scale.<\/p>\n<p>So we have leverage. We have leverage in the short term in terms of purchases of weapons, big arms procurement deals that can produce, give jobs to Trump in the U.S. economy. <\/p>\n<p>And then longer term, I think it&#8217;s very hard for the Americans to ignore the sheer scale of the European economy and its ability to help in terms of that hegemonic battle with the Chinese.<\/p>\n<p>And ultimately, if the Americans decide to do something else, then Europe should look for alternatives, right?<\/p>\n<p>It should look to improve its relations with China, it should look for better relations with Turkey and the Gulf states \u2014 it should diversify its own national security.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Kyiv Independent: At least in the short term, is Russia the main winner out of all that&#8217;s happening at the moment?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Timothy Ash: <\/strong>In respect to Ukraine, you&#8217;ve got to think so, yes. It&#8217;s extraordinary that Trump went into negotiations with Russia over Ukraine. With a strong negotiating hand \u2014 he could have ramped up sanctions, ramped up military supplies to Ukraine, there&#8217;s lots of stuff to negotiate on territory, NATO membership, and he&#8217;s given everything away before there&#8217;s even been any negotiations.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s quite extraordinary. The Russians must think this is manna from heaven \u2014 they just can&#8217;t believe their luck.<\/p>\n<p>And we&#8217;ve seen that Russia is now going back to its maximalist demands, this idea of the &#8220;denazification&#8221; of Kyiv, which means regime change, in effect. Ukraine is not a Nazi state, it&#8217;s a democracy. But the Russians like to push that kind of angle. <\/p>\n<p>And also the demilitarization of Ukraine, which essentially means putting limitations on Ukraine&#8217;s conventional military capability and its ability to defend itself, because they want to invade again.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, because of Trump&#8217;s shenanigans, the start of the negotiations has shifted significantly east \u2014 we could have started around NATO membership. <\/p>\n<p>Ukraine may not likely have been given NATO membership, but it would have given some leverage for the negotiating team from the West.<\/p>\n<p>And a lot of this is in the context of negotiations around this mineral deal. And there&#8217;s a chance that the freezing of aid is just a temporary thing and it&#8217;s all designed to strong arm Zelensky into signing this mineral deal.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"kg-card kg-image-card kg-card-hascaption\"><picture><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/assets.kyivindependent.com\/content\/images\/2025\/03\/GettyImages-2179418210.webp\"><source type=\"image\/jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/GettyImages-2179418210.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/GettyImages-2179418210.jpg\" class=\"kg-image\" alt=\"Trump's \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/picture><figcaption>Russian President Vladimir Putin smiles before the BRICS Summit in Kazan, Russia, on Oct. 22, 2024. (Contributor\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>The Kyiv Independent: Even if it is a negotiating tactic, it&#8217;s causing a lot of damage.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Timothy Ash: <\/strong>We&#8217;ve already seen the damage to NATO itself. Faith and trust in NATO, trust in the U.S. as an ally has been very badly damaged. The scenes in the White House may have gone down well with some MAGA supporters in the U.S., but I think, from a world perspective, any foreign observer looking at that would say that this is just another U.S. ally that&#8217;s been left down. <\/p>\n<p>Let down by the Americans like Afghanistan, like Iraq, like Vietnam\u2026 there&#8217;s a very long list of partners that the Americans have not stood by. I think that&#8217;s very damaging to the U.S. over the long term. <\/p>\n<p>With the minerals deal, it seems to be the case that Trump wants a quick deal, he wants a quick win. He views the mineral deal as that. He views a ceasefire deal as a quick win.<\/p>\n<p>And Trump&#8217;s not very good on the detail, right? I think the problem most Europeans have with the White House thinking around a ceasefire is, we&#8217;ve been there before. <\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve been there before with Minsk I, Minsk II \u2013 numerous ceasefires have been broken (by the Russians).<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s all pretty worrying for Ukraine. Ukraine has a good long-term outlook. Its economic position could be good with EU accession, recovery, and reconstruction bills, but it needs security. <\/p>\n<p>No investor will invest around this minerals deal if they don&#8217;t feel Ukraine is secure. And how would you ensure security? That&#8217;s the key question.<\/p>\n<p>The deal itself is not sufficient enough.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Kyiv Independent: Is there a chance that this could all backfire for the Trump administration? <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Timothy Ash: <\/strong>It weakens trust and confidence in the Americans. I would think Europe will be looking for alternatives. And if the Americans come asking for European help against China or another 9\/11, I think Europe will say, &#8220;no thank you. You made your choices on Ukraine.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>And mismanaging this peace process could be politically very damaging for (Trump). This could be, in terms of scale, multiple times more damaging than the disastrous U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/in-negotiations-with-russia-trump-is-repeating-his-complete-disaster-peace-deal-with-taliban\/\">withdrawal from Afghanistan<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Any deal that doesn&#8217;t leave Ukraine secure could see the military collapse of Ukraine \u2013 the social, economic, and political collapse of Ukraine \u2013 and a complete victory of Russia over Ukraine. <\/p>\n<p>And I think that would be a devastating blow to European security and political, social instability also, because I think tens of millions of Ukrainians would move west.<\/p>\n<p>And that would be Trump&#8217;s responsibility. He would have caused that.<\/p>\n<p>Does he care? Does he really understand any of this? I have my doubts.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"kg-card kg-bookmark-card\"><a class=\"kg-bookmark-container\" href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/im-full-of-anger-ukraine-awakes-to-a-nightmare-as-us-freezes-military-aid\/\"><\/p>\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-content\">\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-title\">\u2018US sided with Russia, North Korea &amp; Iran\u2019 \u2013 Ukraine reacts to Trump\u2019s military aid freeze<\/div>\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-description\">Even in a country grimly accustomed to negative news, the headlines that Ukraine woke up to on March 4 still came as a shock \u2014 the U.S. is freezing military aid. \u201cIt hurts to watch it unfolding,\u201d Volodymyr Dubovyk, the head of Odesa National University\u2019s Center for International Studies, told<\/div>\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-metadata\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"kg-bookmark-icon\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.kyivindependent.com\/content\/images\/size\/w256h256\/format\/png\/2023\/03\/K-new.svg\" alt=\"Trump's \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says\"><span class=\"kg-bookmark-author\">The Kyiv Independent<\/span><span class=\"kg-bookmark-publisher\">Chris York<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"kg-bookmark-thumbnail\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/GettyImages-2198359955-2.jpg\" alt=\"Trump's \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says\"><\/div>\n<p><\/a><\/figure>\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> &#8211; https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/tag\/ukraine\/rss\/<\/p>\n<p>This article appeared on the websitekyivindependent.com<br \/>\nThis article is taken based on Law no. 8\/1996 of Romania. News does not enjoy copyright, so they can be taken, this is our right to take news and information in its entirety and distribute them further. The content was made available to us through the rss mechanism<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/kyivindependent.com\/utterly-staggered-trumps-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says\/\">Original Content<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A decision by the White House to suspend all military aid to Ukraine has stunned Kyiv and its European allies, throwing the very future of the established world order into doubt. &#8220;I&#8217;m utterly staggered. It&#8217;s just extraordinary,&#8221; Timothy Ash, associate fellow at the Chatham House\u2019s Russia and Eurasia Programme, told the Kyiv Independent on March<a class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/trumps-staggering-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says\/\"> [&hellip;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":3403,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1152,1],"tags":[1316,340,2516,1386,120,51,187,2200,1238,66,29,4251],"class_list":["post-3402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kyivindependent","category-news","tag-aid","tag-expert","tag-freeze","tag-military","tag-order","tag-says","tag-the","tag-threatens","tag-trumps","tag-ukraine","tag-world","tag-staggering"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Trump&#039;s \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says - News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/trumps-staggering-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump&#039;s \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says - News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A decision by the White House to suspend all military aid to Ukraine has stunned Kyiv and its European allies, throwing the very future of the established world order into doubt. &#8220;I&#8217;m utterly staggered. It&#8217;s just extraordinary,&#8221; Timothy Ash, associate fellow at the Chatham House\u2019s Russia and Eurasia Programme, told the Kyiv Independent on March [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/trumps-staggering-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-03-05T12:01:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/03\/GettyImages-2198948272.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Misu Videan\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Misu Videan\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"10 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/trumps-staggering-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.euro-tv.ro\/news\/trumps-staggering-ukraine-military-aid-freeze-threatens-the-world-order-expert-says\/\",\"name\":\"Trump's \u2018staggering\u2019 Ukraine military aid freeze threatens the world order, expert says - 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